TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in San Francisco on a particular date in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, with all markets resolving based on the same recorded maximum temperature for that day.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range or threshold: 81°F or below, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, 88-89°F, or 90°F and above. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in preliminary data, extending until either a corrected value is published or the expiration date passes. If data remains unavailable by expiration, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. While other weather services may show different values, only The Weather Company's official report governs outcomes.