TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$39,892

81° or below

 - Kalshi

81° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° or below

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,098
N/A
N/A
$8,845
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,182
N/A
N/A
$8,201
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,156
N/A
N/A
$4,485
Settled
No
kalshi

90° or above

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,715
N/A
N/A
$2,371
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,979
N/A
N/A
$1,480
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$761
N/A
N/A
$721
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in San Francisco on a particular date in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, with all markets resolving based on the same recorded maximum temperature for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range or threshold: 81°F or below, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, 88-89°F, or 90°F and above. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in preliminary data, extending until either a corrected value is published or the expiration date passes. If data remains unavailable by expiration, all markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. While other weather services may show different values, only The Weather Company's official report governs outcomes.