TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$186,541

83° to 84°

 - Kalshi

83° to 84° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

83° to 84°

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,117
N/A
N/A
$24,077
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° or below

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,439
N/A
N/A
$36,695
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,711
N/A
N/A
$25,805
Settled
No
kalshi

91° or above

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,164
N/A
N/A
$13,714
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,311
N/A
N/A
$10,466
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,800
N/A
N/A
$7,652
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether San Francisco will experience specific temperature ranges on October 4, 2026. The outcome depends on the highest temperature recorded that day at a designated weather station, with different markets covering various temperature brackets.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco's CLISFO station on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 82°F or below, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, or above 90°F. The Exchange may delay resolution if it identifies a material error in the initial data publication, allowing time for a corrected report or proceeding to the Expiration Date. If no valid data exists by the deadline, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy.