TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 3, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 3, 2026?

Volume:
$145,790

89° to 90°

 - Kalshi

89° to 90° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° to 90°

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,615
N/A
N/A
$11,398
Settled
Yes
kalshi

91° or above

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,876
N/A
N/A
$17,636
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,398
N/A
N/A
$19,297
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,352
N/A
N/A
$16,782
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,419
N/A
N/A
$17,128
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,132
N/A
N/A
$14,124
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether San Francisco will experience specific temperature ranges on October 3, 2026. The outcome depends on the highest temperature recorded that day at a designated weather station, with different markets covering various temperature brackets.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco's CLISFO station on October 3, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 83°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, or above 90°F. The Exchange may delay resolution if it identifies material errors in preliminary data, holding expiration until corrected data is published or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by expiration, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential resolution adjustments.