TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 25, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 25, 2026?

Volume:
$55,538

73° to 74°

 - Kalshi

73° to 74° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

73° to 74°

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,351
N/A
N/A
$8,126
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,878
N/A
N/A
$9,095
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,505
N/A
N/A
$6,061
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,355
N/A
N/A
$5,554
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,598
N/A
N/A
$5,603
Settled
No
kalshi

66° or below

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,852
N/A
N/A
$1,484
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be met in San Francisco on a particular day in the future. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting climate conditions rather than market predictions.

Kalshi

The event determines if the maximum temperature in San Francisco on October 25, 2026, falls within any of several defined ranges, with outcomes resolving to "Yes" for the corresponding market if the temperature meets that range. All markets use The Weather Company as the sole authority for temperature data. If preliminary data appears erroneous, the Exchange may delay resolution until corrected data is published or until the expiration date. In cases where data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not override these resolution procedures.