TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 22, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 22, 2026?

Volume:
$35,332

63° to 64°

 - Kalshi

63° to 64° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

63° to 64°

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,217
N/A
N/A
$8,899
Settled
Yes
kalshi

62° or below

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,869
N/A
N/A
$4,311
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,813
N/A
N/A
$4,168
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,050
N/A
N/A
$3,176
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$986
N/A
N/A
$902
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
$372
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be met in San Francisco on a particular day in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting climate conditions rather than market predictions.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco on October 22, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 63°F, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, or above 70°F. The official data from The Weather Company is the sole determinant, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. In the absence of data by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.