TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 21, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 21, 2026?

Volume:
$57,846

65° to 66°

 - Kalshi

65° to 66° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

65° to 66°

View
100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,012
N/A
N/A
$7,808
Settled
Yes
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,859
N/A
N/A
$7,878
Settled
No
kalshi

64° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,323
N/A
N/A
$9,011
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,348
N/A
N/A
$5,154
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,263
N/A
N/A
$3,428
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,040
N/A
N/A
$1,580
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the maximum temperature in San Francisco on a specific future date, categorizing possible outcomes into distinct temperature ranges. Participants can assess likelihoods based on historical climate patterns and long-term weather forecasts for that location and time of year.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 21, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that will resolve to 'Yes' if the actual temperature falls within that range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification: preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion differences, and The Weather Company's final reported value is the sole authority. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication before expiration, it may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. Should no valid data remain available by expiration, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status indicator on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.