TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in San Francisco on October 2, 2026. Outcomes depend on the day's peak temperature as officially recorded by The Weather Company, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.
The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that resolves to Yes if the actual temperature falls within that range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification: preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion differences, and The Weather Company's final reported value is definitive. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication before expiration, it may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. Should no valid data remain available by expiration, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.