TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 2, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 2, 2026?

Volume:
$58,678

76° or below

 - Kalshi

76° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

76° or below

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,389
N/A
N/A
$12,559
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,676
N/A
N/A
$6,687
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,097
N/A
N/A
$6,345
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,904
N/A
N/A
$4,517
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,086
N/A
N/A
$2,701
Settled
No
kalshi

85° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,526
N/A
N/A
$1,400
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in San Francisco on October 2, 2026. Outcomes depend on the day's peak temperature as officially recorded by The Weather Company, with different markets covering various temperature ranges.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 2, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that resolves to Yes if the actual temperature falls within that range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification: preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion differences, and The Weather Company's final reported value is definitive. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication before expiration, it may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. Should no valid data remain available by expiration, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.