TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 19, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 19, 2026?

Volume:
$72,783

65° to 66°

 - Kalshi

65° to 66° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

65° to 66°

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,369
N/A
N/A
$16,276
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,544
N/A
N/A
$12,156
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,664
N/A
N/A
$12,404
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,562
N/A
N/A
$3,003
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,997
N/A
N/A
$2,422
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,648
N/A
N/A
$1,637
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the daily peak temperature in San Francisco on a specific date, categorizing outcomes into narrow temperature bands. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical trends and forecasts. The resolution depends on official weather data from a designated source.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco on October 19, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the temperature falls within a specific range, the associated market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. In cases of preliminary data errors, the exchange may delay resolution until corrected data is published or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.