TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.1b

24H VOL:

$114,515,047

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,676,623,266

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,636,853,979

494,282

Markets across

37,363

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,865

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 16, 2026?
🌟New⌛Ending SoonBreaking
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 16, 2026?

Oct 15, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Oct 17, 2026, 3:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$67,332
Volume 24h:
$64,250N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$37,566
1,242%

84° to 85°

 - Kalshi

84° to 85° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 17, 2026

Time left: 19h:54m:00s

Will the maximum temperature be 84-85° on Oct 16, 2026?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° to 85°

Breaking
Trade
97%
79%
Yes 98¢No 5¢
3¢
N/A
$16,767
2,881%
N/A
$6,957
19h 54m
active
kalshi

86° to 87°

3%
30%
Yes 4¢No 98¢
2¢
N/A
$12,931
4,512%
N/A
$6,577
19h 54m
active
kalshi

88° to 89°

1%
31%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$14,427
1,961%
N/A
$7,844
19h 54m
active
kalshi

90° or above

1%
18%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$11,669
787%
N/A
$7,915
19h 54m
active
kalshi

82° to 83°

1%
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$8,946
9,376%
N/A
$5,981
19h 54m
active
kalshi

81° or below

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,591
1,291%
N/A
$2,290
19h 54m
active
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether San Francisco will experience specific temperature ranges on a particular day in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting potential climate conditions for that exact date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 81°F or below, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, 88-89°F, or 90°F and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.