TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 14, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 14, 2026?

Volume:
$63,842

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,369
N/A
N/A
$5,401
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,670
N/A
N/A
$11,266
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,498
N/A
N/A
$8,589
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,219
N/A
N/A
$6,675
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,021
N/A
N/A
$6,359
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or above

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,064
N/A
N/A
$2,819
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting possible weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Five markets cover specific temperature ranges: 70° or below, 71-72°, 73-74°, 75-76°, 77-78°, and 79° or above. Each market resolves to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within its respective range. All markets share common secondary rules: The Weather Company is the sole source of official data, despite potential discrepancies with other services. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and participants should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from these error-resolution procedures.