TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume:
$35,752

68° to 69°

 - Kalshi

68° to 69° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° to 69°

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,330
N/A
N/A
$6,329
Settled
Yes
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,165
N/A
N/A
$5,645
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,275
N/A
N/A
$5,639
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,001
N/A
N/A
$4,548
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,095
N/A
N/A
$2,013
Settled
No
kalshi

63° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,886
N/A
N/A
$1,810
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in San Francisco on a particular day in 2026. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, with specific ranges defining success for each market.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 64°F, 64-65°F, 66-67°F, 68-69°F, 70-71°F, or above 71°F. The Exchange holds expiration if a material error is identified in preliminary data, resolving markets to the last fair price if no valid data exists by the deadline. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the “Final” status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only. All resolutions rely exclusively on The Weather Company’s official report.