TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 11, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 11, 2026?

Volume:
$22,558

65° to 66°

 - Kalshi

65° to 66° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

65° to 66°

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,153
N/A
N/A
$4,427
Settled
Yes
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,999
N/A
N/A
$3,471
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,719
N/A
N/A
$2,911
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,379
N/A
N/A
$3,240
Settled
No
kalshi

62° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
$550
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$623
N/A
N/A
$536
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature that San Francisco will experience on a specific future date, using a single authoritative weather data source to determine the outcome. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict how warm the city will get on that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 11, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that will resolve to "Yes" if the recorded high falls within its specified bounds. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification: while other weather services may offer similar data, The Weather Company’s report is the sole arbiter. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion discrepancies, requiring caution in early interpretations. The exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication, extending the evaluation period until a corrected figure is released or the expiration date passes. Should final data remain unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve based on the last fair price established by Kalshi. The “Final” status indicated on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not immunize the data from potential revisions under these rules.