TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 10, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 10, 2026?

Volume:
$29,224

65° to 66°

 - Kalshi

65° to 66° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

65° to 66°

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,325
N/A
N/A
$4,860
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,720
N/A
N/A
$6,607
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,498
N/A
N/A
$2,867
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,731
N/A
N/A
$2,598
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,976
N/A
N/A
$1,628
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$975
N/A
N/A
$758
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in San Francisco on a particular day in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting potential climate conditions for planning and risk assessment purposes.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 10, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature range: 60° or below, 61-62°, 63-64°, 65-66°, 67-68°, or above 68° Fahrenheit. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in preliminary data, extending until a corrected publication or the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by expiration, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.