TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in San Francisco on a particular day in the future. Outcomes depend entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting potential climate conditions for planning and risk assessment purposes.
All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on October 10, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature range: 60° or below, 61-62°, 63-64°, 65-66°, 67-68°, or above 68° Fahrenheit. The Exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in preliminary data, extending until a corrected publication or the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by expiration, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.