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Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 25?
polymarket

Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 25?

Volume:
$106,985

68-69°F

 - Polymarket

68-69°F - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

68-69°F

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

82°F or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,943
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

66-67°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70-71°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

64-65°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-81°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

72-73°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

76-77°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

63°F or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

74-75°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,001
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

78-79°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The San Francisco temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast on June 25. Traders buy and sell shares based on their belief about whether the peak temperature will reach 82°F or higher that day. The dashboard displays current market odds, 24-hour volume of $34,245, and historical price movements, giving you a live snapshot of how the crowd is pricing this weather outcome. Total liquidity in this market stands at $106,985, reflecting sustained trader interest in the event.

This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once June 25 has passed and the day's highest temperature is recorded. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources documenting the actual peak temperature in San Francisco. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout based on the final verified reading. Until that date, prices may shift as weather models update and real-time conditions emerge, so active traders can adjust positions right up until market close.

Several factors can shift odds in the coming weeks. Updated National Weather Service forecasts, especially those showing high-pressure systems or heat waves approaching Northern California, typically push prices higher. Seasonal climate patterns—such as early-summer marine layer strength or jet-stream positioning—also influence trader positioning. Real-time atmospheric data, including sea-surface temperatures and upper-level winds, may trigger repricing as the event date approaches. Additionally, any unusual weather events elsewhere in the region or shifts in long-range ensemble models can prompt traders to reassess their conviction, creating trading opportunities and price volatility.