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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 27, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 27, 2026?

Volume:
$63,839

70° to 71°

 - Kalshi

70° to 71° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

70° to 71°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,563
N/A
N/A
$6,939
Settled
Yes
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,875
N/A
N/A
$11,561
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,393
N/A
N/A
$4,910
Settled
No
kalshi

67° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,881
N/A
N/A
$5,719
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,433
N/A
N/A
$3,580
Settled
No
kalshi

76° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,695
N/A
N/A
$2,270
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific date in 2026. The outcome depends solely on official weather service data, ensuring consistency and reliability for all participants. It reflects real-world climate monitoring and the importance of using authoritative sources for accurate measurements.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco on July 27, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for San Francisco Airport. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the temperature falls within the range of 67°F or below, the first market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 68°F and 69°F, the second market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for ranges of 70°F to 71°F, 72°F to 73°F, and 74°F to 75°F. For any temperature above 75°F, the final market resolves to Yes. All participants must refer to the official NWS data, accessible via the provided URL, using the latest available report for the date. It is critical to note that while third-party weather services may offer estimates, only the NWS report serves as the definitive source. Traders should be aware of potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary data, exercising caution when interpreting such information before the official report is released.