TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific date in 2026. The outcome depends solely on official weather service data, ensuring consistency and reliability for all participants. It reflects real-world climate monitoring and the importance of using authoritative sources for accurate measurements.
The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco on July 27, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for San Francisco Airport. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the temperature falls within the range of 67°F or below, the first market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 68°F and 69°F, the second market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for ranges of 70°F to 71°F, 72°F to 73°F, and 74°F to 75°F. For any temperature above 75°F, the final market resolves to Yes. All participants must refer to the official NWS data, accessible via the provided URL, using the latest available report for the date. It is critical to note that while third-party weather services may offer estimates, only the NWS report serves as the definitive source. Traders should be aware of potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary data, exercising caution when interpreting such information before the official report is released.