TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 26, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 26, 2026?

Volume:
$42,278

69° to 70°

 - Kalshi

69° to 70° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

69° to 70°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,696
N/A
N/A
$6,771
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,640
N/A
N/A
$7,654
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,916
N/A
N/A
$6,894
Settled
No
kalshi

66° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,192
N/A
N/A
$2,437
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,287
N/A
N/A
$1,783
Settled
No
kalshi

75° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,546
N/A
N/A
$1,266
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific date in the future, using official government data as the sole source for verification. The outcome depends entirely on how the temperature is recorded and reported by the National Weather Service for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 26, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 67°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, or above 74°F. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so only the final NWS report determines the resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these defined ranges.