TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 15, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 15, 2026?

Volume:
$63,133

73° to 74°

 - Kalshi

73° to 74° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

73° to 74°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,931
N/A
N/A
$5,249
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,626
N/A
N/A
$17,220
Settled
No
kalshi

70° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,571
N/A
N/A
$10,028
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,338
N/A
N/A
$6,012
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,101
N/A
N/A
$4,490
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,567
N/A
N/A
$3,592
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on July 15, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for San Francisco Airport, which provides the authoritative maximum temperature measurement for that date.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 15, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed through the NWS San Francisco office climate portal under the Observed Weather tab. Six distinct temperature ranges partition the possible outcomes: 70°F or below, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, and 79°F or above. Each range corresponds to a separate market outcome that resolves to Yes if the recorded maximum falls within that band. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official report should be consulted for resolution purposes rather than real-time weather services.