TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on July 15, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for San Francisco Airport, which provides the authoritative maximum temperature measurement for that date.
Resolution is based on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 15, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed through the NWS San Francisco office climate portal under the Observed Weather tab. Six distinct temperature ranges partition the possible outcomes: 70°F or below, 71-72°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, and 79°F or above. Each range corresponds to a separate market outcome that resolves to Yes if the recorded maximum falls within that band. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official report should be consulted for resolution purposes rather than real-time weather services.