TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 14, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 14, 2026?

Volume:
$111,769

82° or above

 - Kalshi

82° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 15, 2026

Closed: Jul 15, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,960
N/A
N/A
$13,304
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,542
N/A
N/A
$9,114
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,458
N/A
N/A
$13,223
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,654
N/A
N/A
$11,489
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,363
N/A
N/A
$11,896
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,792
N/A
N/A
$9,802
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market predicts the highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on July 14, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for San Francisco Airport, which measures the maximum temperature reached during that calendar day.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 14, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed through the NWS Regional Headquarters website under the Observed Weather tab. Temperature ranges are divided into six bands: 73°F or below, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, and 82°F or above. Each temperature range corresponds to a distinct market outcome. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official report should be used for resolution rather than real-time weather services.