TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 12, 2026?

Volume:
$106,356

76° to 77°

 - Kalshi

76° to 77° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

76° to 77°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,172
N/A
N/A
$5,983
Settled
Yes
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,605
N/A
N/A
$49,424
Settled
No
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,479
N/A
N/A
$14,553
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,026
N/A
N/A
$5,293
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,643
N/A
N/A
$5,505
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,433
N/A
N/A
$4,406
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the highest temperature recorded in San Francisco on July 12, 2026, using official National Weather Service data from San Francisco Airport. The outcome will be determined by the maximum temperature reading on that specific date.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on July 12, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The temperature is divided into six ranges: 71°F or below, 72-73°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, and 80°F or above. Each range corresponds to a distinct outcome. Official data must be obtained from the NWS Climatological Report accessed through the specified URL, selecting San Francisco Airport with Daily Climate Report. While preliminary NWS data and third-party weather services may provide guidance, the final determination uses only the official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) values. Traders should note that preliminary NWS reporting may involve rounding and conversion nuances that could affect interpretation.