TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 6, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 6, 2026?

Volume:
$60,351

72° to 73°

 - Kalshi

72° to 73° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

72° to 73°

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,439
N/A
N/A
$9,315
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° or below

0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,084
N/A
N/A
$11,887
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,274
N/A
N/A
$5,936
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,761
N/A
N/A
$1,807
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$982
N/A
N/A
$826
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$811
N/A
N/A
$683
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends solely on the exact temperature recorded, with different ranges determining various results.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 6, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). The report must be accessed via the provided URL after the date passes, using the latest available version. Temperatures are evaluated against specific ranges: below 72°F, 72-73°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, or above 79°F. Traders should note that while third-party weather services may offer preliminary data, only the NWS report serves as the definitive source. Preliminary NWS data may contain rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised in interpreting early indications. All markets are mutually exclusive, with only one resolving to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within these defined brackets.