TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 24, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 24, 2026?

Volume:
$64,301

73° to 74°

 - Kalshi

73° to 74° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

73° to 74°

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,974
N/A
N/A
$7,029
Settled
Yes
kalshi

68° or below

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,619
N/A
N/A
$15,927
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,792
N/A
N/A
$6,057
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,493
N/A
N/A
$5,760
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,755
N/A
N/A
$4,512
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,668
N/A
N/A
$2,529
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific future date, using an authoritative weather data provider to ensure consistency. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict how unusually warm or cool the day might be. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature recording for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on August 24, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges define possible outcomes: 68° or below, 69-70°, 71-72°, 73-74°, 75-76°, and 77° or above. If the recorded high falls within any of these ranges, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. All secondary rules emphasize that while other weather sources may offer guidance, The Weather Company’s final reported value is the sole determinant. Participants should exercise caution with preliminary data, as rounding and conversion differences can affect early readings. The structure ensures a clear, objective resolution based on a single, trusted data source.