TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the daily peak temperature in San Francisco on a specific date in the future, categorizing outcomes based on temperature ranges. It uses a single authoritative weather data source to determine the result, ensuring consistency despite variations across weather services.
The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on August 20, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six temperature ranges define the possible outcomes: 66° or below, 67-68°, 69-70°, 71-72°, 73-74°, and 75° or above. Each range has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within that range. The Weather Company serves as the sole, definitive source for temperature data, overriding any discrepancies found in other weather services. This structure ensures an objective, unified standard for determining the event's outcome.