TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 12, 2026?

Volume:
$104,411

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,596
N/A
N/A
$11,082
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,185
N/A
N/A
$24,252
Settled
No
kalshi

69° or below

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,988
N/A
N/A
$9,479
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,328
N/A
N/A
$8,244
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,817
N/A
N/A
$6,223
Settled
No
kalshi

78° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,497
N/A
N/A
$3,533
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the recorded maximum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 12, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 70°F, 70-71°F, 72-73°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, or above 77°F. The official NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary or third-party weather data may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and reporting frequencies can vary, requiring careful interpretation of the final official figure.