TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 1, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 1, 2026?

Volume:
$70,624

73° to 74°

 - Kalshi

73° to 74° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

73° to 74°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,512
N/A
N/A
$10,945
Settled
Yes
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,934
N/A
N/A
$7,499
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,497
N/A
N/A
$7,495
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,009
N/A
N/A
$4,211
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,421
N/A
N/A
$2,673
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,251
N/A
N/A
$2,656
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in San Francisco on a specific date in the future, using official government data. The outcome depends solely on the exact temperature recorded, with different ranges determining various results.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 1, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source must be accessed via the provided NWS URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'San Francisco Airport' with the Daily Climate Report. The latest available report for the date must be used, acknowledging that update frequencies may vary between cities. While external weather services may offer guidance, only the NWS report serves as the definitive record. Traders should remain cautious with preliminary data, as NWS reporting may involve rounding and conversion nuances that could affect market resolution. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F, with the market resolving to 'Yes' for the range that matches the officially recorded maximum temperature.