Highest temperature in San Antonio on May 28, 2026?

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect collective trader expectations about San Antonio's maximum temperature on May 28, 2026, often incorporating real-time meteorological data and seasonal patterns. Traditional weather analysts and climate models typically issue deterministic forecasts or confidence ranges weeks in advance, while prediction markets continuously update as new information emerges. The market's current pricing suggests traders assign a specific probability to temperatures exceeding 93 degrees. Comparing these market-derived odds to published forecasts from the National Weather Service or academic climate models can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic scenarios than official predictions.

The Highest temperature in San Antonio on May 28 market resolves on May 29, 2026, after the trading window closes and official temperature data becomes available. Resolution depends on the recorded maximum temperature for that date in San Antonio. The specific threshold—whether the high exceeds 93 degrees Fahrenheit—determines which contract holders receive payment. Official weather station data, typically from the National Weather Service or recognized meteorological sources, serves as the authoritative reference. Once the outcome is confirmed, all winning positions are settled and losing positions expire worthless, concluding the event.

Several factors could shift market odds for San Antonio's May 28 temperature. Seasonal weather pattern updates, including shifts in high-pressure systems or tropical activity, influence trader expectations. Long-range climate forecasts issued by meteorological agencies may signal warmer or cooler conditions for late May. Urban heat island effects and local infrastructure changes can alter baseline temperatures. Historical temperature records for that date provide anchoring data. Real-time atmospheric conditions in the weeks leading up to May 28 will drive incremental repricing. Additionally, any significant climate anomalies or unusual weather events in the preceding months may prompt traders to reassess their probability estimates for exceeding the 93-degree threshold.