Highest temperature in San Antonio on Jun 5, 2026?

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the highest temperature in San Antonio on June 5 is priced as a set of binary or range-based contracts, each representing a specific temperature threshold or band. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As new weather data, seasonal patterns, and climate signals emerge, traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. The market price you see represents the collective expectation of all Kalshi participants about where the thermometer will peak on that day in San Antonio.

The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026, after the close of trading and once the highest temperature recorded in San Antonio on June 5, 2026 is finalized. Resolution depends on the official temperature reading from a designated weather station or data source specified by the market operator. Once the peak temperature for that day is confirmed, the outcome is determined and all contracts settle according to which temperature band or threshold was reached. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout based on the final verified temperature.

Several factors can shift odds for San Antonio's June 5 high temperature. Major weather pattern changes—such as the arrival of a cold front, tropical system, or heat dome—will move prices significantly. Long-range climate forecasts, seasonal outlooks, and El Niño or La Niña conditions influence trader expectations. As June 5 approaches, updated short-range forecasts from the National Weather Service become more precise and typically drive sharp price moves. Urban heat island effects, drought conditions, and historical temperature records for that date also inform trader positioning. Real-time atmospheric data and model consensus shifts in the days leading up to June 5 will be the most immediate price drivers.