TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in San Antonio on Jun 1, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in San Antonio on Jun 1, 2026?

Volume:
$0

89° or below

 - Kalshi

89° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Will the maximum temperature be <90° on Jun 1, 2026?

Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 50¢ buys you 200 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $200 | Net Profit: $100 Multiplier: 2.00x | ROI: 100% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° or below

Trade
N/A
N/A
47¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

90° to 91°

N/A
N/A
30¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

92° to 93°

N/A
N/A
46¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

94° to 95°

N/A
N/A
48¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

96° to 97°

N/A
N/A
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

98° or above

N/A
N/A
49¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 6

Description

The maximum daytime temperature in San Antonio on June 1, 2026, will be recorded by the National Weather Service.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi for San Antonio's high temperature on June 1 reflect real-money trader sentiment and often incorporate meteorological models and seasonal climate data. Unlike traditional weather forecasts from meteorologists or climate analysts, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information through price discovery. Traders with weather expertise or access to advanced forecasting models can profit by trading against less-informed consensus, pushing odds toward more accurate probabilities. Comparing Kalshi odds to published National Weather Service or climate analyst forecasts reveals whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish temperature scenarios than official predictions.

On Kalshi, the Highest temperature in San Antonio on Jun 1 is priced as binary or range-based contracts tied to specific temperature thresholds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Each contract settles based on the actual recorded high temperature on June 1, 2026. Kalshi's order book displays bid-ask spreads, allowing traders to enter positions at competitive prices. Volume and liquidity on the contract determine how easily traders can scale positions in or out.

The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, after the close of trading and official temperature data is recorded. Resolution is determined by the highest temperature recorded in San Antonio on June 1, 2026, as reported by the designated weather authority. The specific temperature threshold or range you selected in your contract determines whether your position settles to 100 cents (correct outcome) or 0 cents (incorrect outcome). Once the official high temperature is confirmed and published, Kalshi automatically settles all contracts tied to that event.

Several factors can shift odds for San Antonio's June 1 high temperature. Seasonal climate patterns, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and long-range weather models updated by meteorologists will influence trader expectations. As June 1 approaches, short-range forecasts from the National Weather Service become more precise, typically driving sharper price moves. Heat waves or cold fronts affecting the South-Central U.S. in late May can signal whether June 1 will be anomalously hot or cool. Real-time atmospheric data, upper-air patterns, and soil moisture conditions all feed into trader decisions, causing odds to drift as new information emerges.