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Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 31?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 31?

Volume:
$43,854

32°C

 - Polymarket

32°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: May 31, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

32°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,592
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

27°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,958
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,669
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$942
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader sentiment and can be compared against meteorological forecasts and seasonal climate models for Qingdao in late May. Meteorologists typically issue temperature predictions based on historical patterns, atmospheric data, and regional climate trends. Market odds may diverge from analyst forecasts when traders incorporate non-meteorological factors or possess different information. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is pricing in warmer, cooler, or typical conditions relative to expert expectations for late spring in Qingdao.

The market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official highest temperature recorded in Qingdao on May 31, 2026. The outcome is typically verified against data from recognized meteorological authorities or official weather stations serving the Qingdao region. Once the actual peak temperature is confirmed, the market settles to the corresponding outcome share, and traders holding winning shares receive their proportional payout based on final odds.

Several factors could shift market odds for Qingdao's May 31 temperature. Updated seasonal forecasts and long-range weather models may indicate warmer or cooler conditions ahead. Regional climate patterns, such as shifts in monsoon timing or unusual air mass movements, could influence expectations. Real-time weather data closer to the event date will refine predictions. Additionally, historical anomalies or climate events affecting East China could prompt traders to reprice their positions. As May 31 approaches, near-term meteorological forecasts will become increasingly influential in driving market movement.