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Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 29?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 29?

Volume:
$43,302

30°C

 - Polymarket

30°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 29, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

30°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

26°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,556
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,634
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$804
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the highest temperature recorded in Qingdao on May 29, 2026 will reach specific thresholds. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—a high of 30°C—stands at 36.5%, while a high of 29°C carries 29.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by historical temperature data from Wunderground, using readings from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station. Watch the weather patterns developing in late May 2026, as seasonal warming trends and any passing weather systems will be critical to determining whether temperatures breach the 30°C mark on that date.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on Qingdao's May 29 high temperature. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on meteorological models and expert judgment, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information through price discovery. Comparing Polymarket odds to published forecasts from weather services or climate analysts can reveal whether traders are pricing in different assumptions about atmospheric conditions, seasonal patterns, or recent weather trends than official predictions.

The market resolves on May 29, 2026, when the event date has passed and the actual highest temperature recorded in Qingdao on May 29 is known. The outcome is determined by official temperature data from meteorological authorities or trusted weather stations in Qingdao. Once verified, the market settles according to which outcome bracket the recorded temperature falls into, and traders holding the winning contract receive their payout.

Several factors could shift odds before May 29, 2026. Major weather pattern changes—such as monsoon onset, tropical cyclone formation, or unusual high-pressure systems—could alter seasonal temperature expectations. Updated long-range forecasts from meteorological agencies may signal warmer or cooler conditions. Historical anomalies or climate data releases could influence trader expectations. Additionally, real-time weather developments in late May, including cloud cover and wind patterns, will drive final price adjustments as the event date approaches and uncertainty narrows.