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Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 9?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 9?

Volume:
$39,019

30°C or higher

 - Polymarket

30°C or higher - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

30°C or higher

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,581
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,538
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,024
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,628
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$727
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Qingdao on June 9 is priced through outcome shares that traders can buy or sell. Each temperature range or specific threshold has its own contract, and the price of each share reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As traders adjust their positions based on weather models, seasonal patterns, and real-time data, prices fluctuate. The current odds show which temperature scenarios the market considers most likely as of now.

The Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 9 market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, after the event date has passed and official temperature data is available. Resolution is determined by the actual highest temperature recorded in Qingdao on June 9. The outcome is typically verified against authoritative meteorological records from China's national weather service or local Qingdao weather stations. Once the data is confirmed and submitted to the market, the winning outcome shares are paid out and losing shares expire worthless.

Several factors could shift odds for Qingdao's highest temperature on June 9. Updated seasonal forecasts, changes in large-scale weather patterns such as monsoon onset timing, and anomalies in sea surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea may influence trader expectations. As June approaches, medium-range weather models become more reliable, potentially triggering repricing. Real-time atmospheric conditions, tropical cyclone activity, and shifts in jet stream positioning could also move the market. Major climate indices and regional pressure systems warrant close monitoring.