TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Qingdao on June 3 is priced through outcome shares that traders buy and sell, with each share representing a specific temperature range or threshold. The current market odds reflect the aggregate demand for each outcome. Prices fluctuate as new information emerges, including updated weather models, seasonal patterns, and historical temperature data for early June in Qingdao. Traders assess atmospheric conditions and climate trends to position themselves ahead of the resolution date.
The market resolves on Jun 3, 2026, after the highest temperature for Qingdao on June 3 has been recorded. The outcome is determined by the official maximum temperature reading for that day, which will be verified against meteorological data sources. Traders should monitor weather forecasts and real-time conditions as the event date approaches to assess which temperature outcome is most likely to occur.
Several factors could shift market odds for Qingdao's highest temperature on June 3. Updated weather models and seasonal forecasts released closer to the date will influence trader expectations. Unusual atmospheric patterns, shifts in monsoon activity, or anomalous jet stream behavior could alter temperature projections. Historical climate data for early June and real-time atmospheric observations will also drive trading activity. As June 3 approaches, each new forecast update and weather alert may trigger significant repricing of the outcome shares on Polymarket.