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Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 25?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 25?

Volume:
$40,861

30°C or higher

 - Polymarket

30°C or higher - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

30°C or higher

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30,089
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,168
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Qingdao temperature market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price movements for whether the highest temperature in Qingdao will reach 30°C or higher on June 25. The interface shows current market probability, 24-hour trading volume of $32,304, and cumulative volume of $40,861 across all positions. Traders use this data to monitor sentiment shifts and liquidity depth in the Qingdao temperature market as the event date approaches, helping them assess consensus expectations for peak heat on that specific day.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional weather forecasts or analyst models. While meteorologists issue probabilistic temperature ranges based on atmospheric data, this market aggregates dispersed trader beliefs into a single price signal. Comparing the current odds here to published forecasts from regional weather services can reveal whether the market is pricing in more or less confidence in extreme heat than official models suggest. Such gaps sometimes highlight underappreciated climate patterns or data the broader forecast community may have weighted differently.

This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once June 25 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Qingdao for that day is confirmed. The outcome is determined by verifying the peak temperature against credible public sources, with the "yes" side winning if it reaches 30°C or higher, and the "no" side winning if it stays below that threshold. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout automatically once the resolution is finalized and the market officially closes.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, or tropical storm systems approaching the region could significantly alter trading odds. Real-time atmospheric data releases, changes in ocean temperatures, or anomalies in the jet stream may prompt traders to reassess heat risk. Historical temperature records for late June in Qingdao also serve as calibration points. Additionally, any unexpected climate events or shifts in regional air pressure systems in the weeks leading up to June 25 could trigger rapid repricing as traders incorporate new information into their probability estimates.