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Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 2?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 2?

Volume:
$31,005

27°C

 - Polymarket

27°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

27°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

23°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,404
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts and analyst predictions. While weather analysts rely on numerical models and historical climate data, prediction markets incorporate real-time trader sentiment and broader information flows. Markets may price in uncertainty differently than official forecasts, sometimes leading to higher or lower implied probabilities for extreme temperatures. Comparing Polymarket odds to published forecasts from meteorological services can reveal where traders see additional risk or opportunity relative to expert consensus.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Qingdao on June 2 is priced through outcome shares that traders buy and sell. Each temperature range or specific outcome has a share price between 0 and 1, reflecting the market's probability estimate. As traders trade, prices adjust based on supply and demand. The current top outcome and its implied probability are visible on the order book, allowing you to see exactly what the market expects and at what odds you can enter or exit positions.

The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, after the highest temperature in Qingdao on June 2 has been recorded. The outcome is determined by official temperature data for that date. Resolution depends on the specific outcome categories defined in the market—for example, whether the high is above or below a certain threshold, or which temperature range it falls into. Once the actual temperature is confirmed and reported, the market settles accordingly and winning shares are paid out.

Several factors could shift odds for the highest temperature in Qingdao on June 2. Updated weather forecasts and seasonal climate models closer to the date will influence trader expectations. Major weather patterns, such as approaching cold fronts, heat waves, or monsoon activity in East Asia, can trigger significant repricing. Changes in long-range atmospheric indices and historical temperature anomalies for early June in Qingdao may also drive trading. As the date approaches, real-time weather updates and model consensus will increasingly shape market prices.