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Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?

Volume:
$36,195

27°C

 - Polymarket

27°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

27°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,712
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$742
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$561
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Qingdao temperature market dashboard displays real-time odds and historical price movements for contracts tied to the highest temperature forecast in Qingdao on June 16. Traders can monitor how market participants are pricing different temperature outcomes, track cumulative trading volume, and observe shifts in consensus as new weather data emerges. The dashboard provides a transparent view of what the crowd expects the peak temperature to reach, updated continuously as bets flow in throughout the prediction period.

Prediction markets like this one often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts because they incorporate real-time trader behavior, financial incentives, and collective intelligence. While weather analysts rely on atmospheric models and historical data, market participants embed their own interpretations and risk assessments into prices. Comparing this market's odds to published forecasts from meteorological agencies can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimism or pessimism about June 16 conditions in Qingdao than official models suggest. Such gaps sometimes highlight emerging consensus or contrarian positioning.

This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, once June 16 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Qingdao can be verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources documenting the actual peak temperature for that day. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution is automatic once the event data is finalized and the platform processes the settlement.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and real-time atmospheric data releases can all trigger significant price swings in this market. Tropical systems, heat waves, or cold fronts affecting East Asia may prompt traders to reassess their positions. As June 16 approaches, actual weather conditions and short-term forecasts become increasingly influential. Breaking news about climate anomalies or unexpected pressure systems could also drive rapid repricing. Traders monitor meteorological updates closely to capitalize on new information before consensus fully adjusts.