TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 4, 2026?

Volume:
$48,242

104° to 105°

 - Kalshi

104° to 105° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

104° to 105°

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,351
N/A
N/A
$6,256
Settled
Yes
kalshi

100° to 101°

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,885
N/A
N/A
$11,408
Settled
No
kalshi

102° to 103°

0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,604
N/A
N/A
$6,452
Settled
No
kalshi

99° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,634
N/A
N/A
$4,611
Settled
No
kalshi

108° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,784
N/A
N/A
$4,095
Settled
No
kalshi

106° to 107°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,985
N/A
N/A
$3,727
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether Phoenix will experience specific temperature ranges on a particular date in 2026. The outcome depends solely on official weather data from a designated source, with mechanisms to address potential data errors.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix (CLIPHX) on September 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: less than 100°F, 100-101°F, 102-103°F, 104-105°F, 106-107°F, or greater than 107°F. The Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial data publication, allowing time for a corrected revision. If no data remains available by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Preliminary data may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, and the 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.