TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 9, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 9, 2026?

Volume:
$38,579

103° to 104°

 - Kalshi

103° to 104° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

103° to 104°

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,475
N/A
N/A
$8,007
Settled
Yes
kalshi

101° to 102°

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,872
N/A
N/A
$9,963
Settled
No
kalshi

105° to 106°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,786
N/A
N/A
$3,818
Settled
No
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,037
N/A
N/A
$4,231
Settled
No
kalshi

98° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,538
N/A
N/A
$1,263
Settled
No
kalshi

107° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$871
N/A
N/A
$824
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict outcomes based on historical climate patterns and seasonal trends.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix on October 9, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six separate markets cover different temperature ranges, each resolving to 'Yes' if the recorded high falls within its specified range. All markets share consistent secondary rules: The Weather Company is the sole source of official data, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial data before expiration, the resolution may be delayed until corrected data is published or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by expiration, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.