TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 5, 2026?

Volume:
$100,131

97° to 98°

 - Kalshi

97° to 98° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

97° to 98°

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,831
N/A
N/A
$20,853
Settled
Yes
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,201
N/A
N/A
$12,892
Settled
No
kalshi

101° to 102°

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,472
N/A
N/A
$7,044
Settled
No
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,765
N/A
N/A
$4,239
Settled
No
kalshi

94° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,475
N/A
N/A
$4,423
Settled
No
kalshi

103° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,386
N/A
N/A
$2,213
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on how the temperature is officially recorded, making it a straightforward test of real-world weather conditions against predefined thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 95°F, 95–96°F, 97–98°F, 99–100°F, 101–102°F, or above 102°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before the market’s expiration, the exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If no valid data exists by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.