TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on how the temperature is officially recorded, making it a straightforward test of real-world weather conditions against predefined thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 95°F, 95–96°F, 97–98°F, 99–100°F, 101–102°F, or above 102°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before the market’s expiration, the exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If no valid data exists by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.