TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$37,571

99° to 100°

 - Kalshi

99° to 100° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

99° to 100°

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,122
N/A
N/A
$3,783
Settled
Yes
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,604
N/A
N/A
$10,776
Settled
No
kalshi

101° to 102°

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,266
N/A
N/A
$7,440
Settled
No
kalshi

96° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,308
N/A
N/A
$4,066
Settled
No
kalshi

103° to 104°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,795
N/A
N/A
$1,403
Settled
No
kalshi

105° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
$476
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Phoenix on October 4, 2026. Outcomes depend on the exact peak temperature recorded that day, with different markets covering various intervals from moderate to extreme heat.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 96°F or below, 97-98°F, 99-100°F, 101-102°F, 103-104°F, or 105°F and above. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The “Final” status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.