TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Phoenix on October 4, 2026. Outcomes depend on the exact peak temperature recorded that day, with different markets covering various intervals from moderate to extreme heat.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 96°F or below, 97-98°F, 99-100°F, 101-102°F, 103-104°F, or 105°F and above. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The “Final” status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.