TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 29, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 29, 2026?

Volume:
$33,265

84° to 85°

 - Kalshi

84° to 85° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° to 85°

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,825
N/A
N/A
$6,207
Settled
Yes
kalshi

83° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,151
N/A
N/A
$10,117
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,525
N/A
N/A
$5,781
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,882
N/A
N/A
$1,364
Settled
No
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$792
N/A
N/A
$731
Settled
No
kalshi

92° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climatic conditions on that day.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix on October 29, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 83° or below, 84-85°, 86-87°, 88-89°, 90-91°, and 92° or above. The market for the actual temperature range achieved will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. All markets share consistent secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and The Weather Company’s final reported value is the official determinant. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before the market’s expiration, the resolution may be delayed until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no valid data exists by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The “Final” status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the market from these error-resolution procedures.