TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 25, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 25, 2026?

Volume:
$21,475

82° to 83°

 - Kalshi

82° to 83° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,536
N/A
N/A
$5,132
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,434
N/A
N/A
$3,990
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,883
N/A
N/A
$2,347
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,614
N/A
N/A
$2,490
Settled
No
kalshi

86° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,235
N/A
N/A
$1,220
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$774
N/A
N/A
$774
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of climatic conditions on that day.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 25, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 77°F or below, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, and above 85°F. The market associated with the actual recorded temperature range will resolve to Yes, while all others resolve to No. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary Weather Company data may undergo revisions, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay expiration if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If no valid data is available by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions under these rules.