TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 19, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 19, 2026?

Volume:
$81,564

90° to 91°

 - Kalshi

90° to 91° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 20, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

90° to 91°

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,114
N/A
N/A
$8,875
Settled
Yes
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,645
N/A
N/A
$35,857
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,018
N/A
N/A
$11,691
Settled
No
kalshi

92° or above

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,943
N/A
N/A
$5,092
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,583
N/A
N/A
$3,289
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,261
N/A
N/A
$1,082
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Phoenix on a particular future date. Participants can evaluate how probable it is that the day's peak temperature will fall within certain degree brackets, based on historical climate patterns and long-term weather forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 19, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 84°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, 88-89°F, 90-91°F, or above 91°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion issues, so caution is advised. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data before expiration, it may delay resolution until a corrected value is published or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable at expiration, markets resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.