TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.1b

24H VOL:

$114,515,047

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,676,623,266

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,636,853,979

494,282

Markets across

37,363

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,865

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 16, 2026?
🌟New⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 16, 2026?

Oct 15, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Oct 17, 2026, 3:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$51,046
Volume 24h:
$48,337N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$31,321
1,226%

86° to 87°

 - Kalshi

86° to 87° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 17, 2026

Time left: 19h:57m:26s

Will the maximum temperature be 86-87° on Oct 16, 2026?

79%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 79¢ buys you 127 shares | Odds: 79% Total Payout: $127 | Net Profit: $27 Multiplier: 1.27x | ROI: 27% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

86° to 87°

Trade
79%
56%
Yes 79¢No 23¢
2¢
N/A
$15,776
3,938%
N/A
$7,011
19h 57m
active
kalshi

88° to 89°

Trade
22%
26%
Yes 22¢No 79¢
1¢
N/A
$11,957
1,587%
N/A
$5,790
19h 57m
active
kalshi

84° to 85°

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$11,722
4,600%
N/A
$11,005
19h 57m
active
kalshi

90° to 91°

Trade
1%
23%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$7,849
1,426%
N/A
$4,056
19h 57m
active
kalshi

92° or above

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,915
331%
N/A
$1,631
19h 57m
active
kalshi

83° or below

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$1,827
319%
N/A
$1,827
19h 57m
active
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges in Phoenix on October 16, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature band, allowing participants to evaluate the probability of the day's peak temperature falling within any given range.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at the Phoenix (CLIPHX) location on October 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 84°F, 84–85°F, 86–87°F, 88–89°F, 90–91°F, or above 91°F. The official data source is The Weather Company, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.