TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$62,112

88° to 89°

 - Kalshi

88° to 89° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

88° to 89°

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,099
N/A
N/A
$7,467
Settled
Yes
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,278
N/A
N/A
$9,072
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,238
N/A
N/A
$9,792
Settled
No
kalshi

92° or above

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,365
N/A
N/A
$8,940
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,446
N/A
N/A
$2,306
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
$620
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

These markets focus on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting expectations about climate conditions and potential extremes.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 83° or below, 84-85°, 86-87°, 88-89°, 90-91°, and 92° or above. If the recorded temperature falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Exchange retains discretion to address material errors in the initial data publication, potentially delaying resolution until a corrected value is released or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary data may differ from final reports due to rounding or conversion issues, and a "Final" status on The Weather Company's platform does not guarantee error-free data.