TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting expectations about climate conditions and potential extremes.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 83° or below, 84-85°, 86-87°, 88-89°, 90-91°, and 92° or above. If the recorded temperature falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The Exchange retains discretion to address material errors in the initial data publication, potentially delaying resolution until a corrected value is released or the expiration date arrives. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary data may differ from final reports due to rounding or conversion issues, and a "Final" status on The Weather Company's platform does not guarantee error-free data.