TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 14, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 14, 2026?

Volume:
$55,995

77° to 78°

 - Kalshi

77° to 78° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° to 78°

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,753
N/A
N/A
$11,881
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,900
N/A
N/A
$6,124
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,823
N/A
N/A
$10,749
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,799
N/A
N/A
$2,816
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,009
N/A
N/A
$2,859
Settled
No
kalshi

74° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,710
N/A
N/A
$1,630
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the highest temperature that will be recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting how weather forecasting and data verification processes work in real-world scenarios.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 75°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, or above 82°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion issues, so participants should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initially published data, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the market’s expiration date. Should no data remain available by the expiration date, markets will resolve at the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is for convenience and does not guarantee immunity from errors or adjustments.