TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 12, 2026?

Volume:
$56,463

82° to 83°

 - Kalshi

82° to 83° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,748
N/A
N/A
$3,766
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,629
N/A
N/A
$25,949
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,903
N/A
N/A
$4,323
Settled
No
kalshi

86° or above

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,953
N/A
N/A
$4,017
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,488
N/A
N/A
$4,103
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,742
N/A
N/A
$1,999
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether Phoenix will experience specific temperature ranges on a particular day in 2026. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting potential climate conditions for that exact date.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 12, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 77°F or below, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, or above 85°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before the market’s expiration, the exchange may delay resolution until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The “Final” status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.