TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 27, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 27, 2026?

Volume:
$202,128

113° to 114°

 - Kalshi

113° to 114° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

113° to 114°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,418
N/A
N/A
$36,401
Settled
Yes
kalshi

111° to 112°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$92,788
N/A
N/A
$69,103
Settled
No
kalshi

109° to 110°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,975
N/A
N/A
$23,633
Settled
No
kalshi

107° to 108°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,914
N/A
N/A
$17,182
Settled
No
kalshi

115° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,077
N/A
N/A
$6,849
Settled
No
kalshi

106° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,956
N/A
N/A
$1,788
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the daily peak temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in 2026, using official government data. Participants assess whether conditions will reach certain temperature thresholds based on verified meteorological records.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix, AZ on July 27, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 107°F, 107-108°F, 109-110°F, 111-112°F, 113-114°F, or above 114°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest published data for the date. While preliminary or third-party weather services may provide estimates, only the final NWS figure determines resolution. Traders should be aware that reporting methodologies may include rounding or conversion nuances, and all outcomes depend exclusively on this authoritative source.