TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 26, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 26, 2026?

Volume:
$95,173

110° to 111°

 - Kalshi

110° to 111° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

110° to 111°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,340
N/A
N/A
$7,691
Settled
Yes
kalshi

108° to 109°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,810
N/A
N/A
$41,654
Settled
No
kalshi

112° to 113°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,483
N/A
N/A
$9,864
Settled
No
kalshi

107° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,750
N/A
N/A
$6,961
Settled
No
kalshi

114° to 115°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,152
N/A
N/A
$3,394
Settled
No
kalshi

116° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,637
N/A
N/A
$2,529
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the daily peak temperature in Phoenix on a specific future date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess whether conditions will reach certain temperature thresholds based on recorded meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix, AZ on July 26, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome depends on which numerical range the actual temperature falls into: below 108°F, between 108-109°F, 110-111°F, 112-113°F, 114-115°F, or above 115°F. Traders must reference the specific NWS data portal for Phoenix's daily climate report, using the most current version available after the date in question. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary estimates, they hold no determinative weight—only the NWS report serves as the binding authority for resolution. Participants should recognize that official measurements can include rounding conventions and methodological nuances inherent in meteorological reporting systems.