TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 18, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 18, 2026?

Volume:
$171,427

95° to 96°

 - Kalshi

95° to 96° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

95° to 96°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,686
N/A
N/A
$24,185
Settled
Yes
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,112
N/A
N/A
$41,711
Settled
No
kalshi

94° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,093
N/A
N/A
$27,656
Settled
No
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,837
N/A
N/A
$8,717
Settled
No
kalshi

101° to 102°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,948
N/A
N/A
$10,328
Settled
No
kalshi

103° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,751
N/A
N/A
$6,443
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the daytime high temperature in Phoenix on July 18, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report for Phoenix, which records the maximum temperature reached during that calendar day.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix on July 18, 2026, according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed via the NWS website by navigating to the Observed Weather tab and selecting Phoenix, AZ with Daily Climate Report. Temperature ranges are divided into six bands: 94°F or below, 95-96°F, 97-98°F, 99-100°F, 101-102°F, and 103°F or above. Each band corresponds to a separate outcome. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) is the authoritative source, not preliminary reports or third-party weather services.