TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 15, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Jul 15, 2026?

Volume:
$66,875

108° to 109°

 - Kalshi

108° to 109° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

108° to 109°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,570
N/A
N/A
$8,099
Settled
Yes
kalshi

104° to 105°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,642
N/A
N/A
$14,482
Settled
No
kalshi

106° to 107°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,758
N/A
N/A
$11,127
Settled
No
kalshi

110° to 111°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,786
N/A
N/A
$7,008
Settled
No
kalshi

112° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,051
N/A
N/A
$4,619
Settled
No
kalshi

103° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,067
N/A
N/A
$3,481
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the highest temperature recorded in Phoenix on July 15, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for Phoenix, Arizona, which provides the authoritative maximum temperature measurement for that date.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix, AZ on July 15, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed through the NWS Phoenix office climate portal under the Observed Weather tab. Six distinct temperature ranges partition the possible outcomes: 103°F or below, 104-105°F, 106-107°F, 108-109°F, 110-111°F, and 112°F or above. Each range corresponds to a separate market outcome that resolves to Yes if the recorded maximum falls within that band. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official report should be consulted for resolution purposes rather than real-time weather services.