TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 8, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 8, 2026?

Volume:
$71,953

112° to 113°

 - Kalshi

112° to 113° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

112° to 113°

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,754
N/A
N/A
$9,386
Settled
Yes
kalshi

110° to 111°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,649
N/A
N/A
$24,693
Settled
No
kalshi

114° to 115°

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,893
N/A
N/A
$7,315
Settled
No
kalshi

109° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,555
N/A
N/A
$2,147
Settled
No
kalshi

116° to 117°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,349
N/A
N/A
$2,004
Settled
No
kalshi

118° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,753
N/A
N/A
$1,753
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Phoenix on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. Participants assess whether conditions will lead to certain temperature ranges being met or exceeded on that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix on August 8, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 110°F, 110–111°F, 112–113°F, 114–115°F, 116–117°F, or above 117°F. The exact figure from the NWS report determines the resolving outcome, with no consideration given to preliminary or third-party data sources. Traders must rely on the authoritative NWS data, noting that reporting may involve rounding or conversion nuances, and updates should be checked using the provided URL for the latest daily climate report for Phoenix, AZ.